William Burroughs remarked that a paranoid person is one in full possession of all the facts. Now, I may be skiing on the nursery slopes compared to the Red Team but it occurs to me that Israel has never been attacked by Al Qaeda or ISIS, my tentative point being that we are seeing terrorism linked to Iranian groups (Austin Tx oil tank fire/ London Jewish ambulance arson and other non-injury attacks) without any definite proof of linkage or indeed any possible benefit accruing to Iran. What will Israel (aka Little Satan) do in the event of TACO leading to an outbreak of friendly relations between the US (aka Great Satan) and that fount of all evil, the Islamic Republic?
Al‑Qaeda has under‑delivered on its anti‑Israel rhetoric in operational terms, but not because Israel is uniquely spared; rather because AQ’s strategic priority set has been different and heavily constrained by its post‑9/11 survival fight.
ISIS has, in fact, attacked Israel (e.g., rockets on Eilat from Sinai) and inspired plots, but these have been limited in scale relative to Israel’s primary threat streams.
Iran’s network (Hezbollah, PIJ, militias, various covert action channels) demonstrably targets Israel and Jewish/Western interests, but tying each low‑level incident in the West directly to Tehran requires careful evidentiary thresholds, which the current Texas incident clearly does not yet meet and the London arson only possibly does.
So if some “TACO” event opened a path to friendlier US–Iran relations, the most realistic expectation is that Israel would double down on unilateral measures against Iran and its regional network, while waging an intense political and information campaign in Washington against any bargain that, in Jerusalem’s view, locks in Iranian capabilities or legitimizes IRGC power projection.
I see *nodding judiciously
William Burroughs remarked that a paranoid person is one in full possession of all the facts. Now, I may be skiing on the nursery slopes compared to the Red Team but it occurs to me that Israel has never been attacked by Al Qaeda or ISIS, my tentative point being that we are seeing terrorism linked to Iranian groups (Austin Tx oil tank fire/ London Jewish ambulance arson and other non-injury attacks) without any definite proof of linkage or indeed any possible benefit accruing to Iran. What will Israel (aka Little Satan) do in the event of TACO leading to an outbreak of friendly relations between the US (aka Great Satan) and that fount of all evil, the Islamic Republic?
Al‑Qaeda has under‑delivered on its anti‑Israel rhetoric in operational terms, but not because Israel is uniquely spared; rather because AQ’s strategic priority set has been different and heavily constrained by its post‑9/11 survival fight.
ISIS has, in fact, attacked Israel (e.g., rockets on Eilat from Sinai) and inspired plots, but these have been limited in scale relative to Israel’s primary threat streams.
Iran’s network (Hezbollah, PIJ, militias, various covert action channels) demonstrably targets Israel and Jewish/Western interests, but tying each low‑level incident in the West directly to Tehran requires careful evidentiary thresholds, which the current Texas incident clearly does not yet meet and the London arson only possibly does.
So if some “TACO” event opened a path to friendlier US–Iran relations, the most realistic expectation is that Israel would double down on unilateral measures against Iran and its regional network, while waging an intense political and information campaign in Washington against any bargain that, in Jerusalem’s view, locks in Iranian capabilities or legitimizes IRGC power projection.